Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
1
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 5 H, 2 EPirates · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Thomas Saggese strikes out swinging.
top 9José Fermín strikes out swinging.
top 9Leo Bernal called out on strikes.
bot 8Henry Davis grounds into a force out, third baseman Thomas Saggese to second baseman JJ Wetherholt. Bryan Reynolds out at 2nd.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds walks.
bot 8Spencer Horwitz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Nathan Church. Ronny Simon scores.1–2
bot 8Ronny Simon walks.
bot 8Nick Gonzales flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Burleson 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-4 · Nathan Church 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Oneil Cruz 2-4 · Konnor Griffin 2-4 · Ronny Simon 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.