Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
1
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789321
Cardinals · 10 H, 0 EPirates · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ronny Simon strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.
bot 9Brandon Lowe grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to pitcher George Soriano. Bryan Reynolds to 2nd.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds walks.
top 9Alec Burleson strikes out swinging.
top 9Iván Herrera grounds into a double play, shortstop Konnor Griffin to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. JJ Wetherholt out at 2nd. Iván Herrera out at 1st.
top 9JJ Wetherholt singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ronny Simon.
bot 8Rafael Flores Jr. grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 3-4, 1 RBI · José Fermín 2-4 · Nolan Gorman 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 2-3 · Jared Triolo 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.