Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
0
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
100% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911
Cardinals · 1 H, 1 EPirates · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alec Burleson flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Iván Herrera strikes out swinging.
top 9JJ Wetherholt called out on strikes.
top 9Masyn Winn walks.
bot 8Ryan O'Hearn strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Rafael Flores Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Oneil Cruz flies out to center fielder Nathan Church.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds doubles (40) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Torres.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Church 1-3 · Bryan Torres 0-3 · Jordan Walker 0-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Konnor Griffin 2-4 · Spencer Horwitz 1-2 · Bryan Reynolds 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.