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Kansas City Royals
5
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
8
100% — our call
Kansas City Royalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Royals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Royals · 8 H, 2 EPirates · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tyler Tolbert strikes out swinging.
top 9Nick Loftin doubles (26) on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Isaac Collins strikes out swinging.
top 9Salvador Perez flies out sharply to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
bot 8Ryan O'Hearn grounds into a double play, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Oneil Cruz out at 2nd. Ryan O'Hearn out at 1st.
bot 8Jared Triolo pops out to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino in foul territory.
bot 8Oneil Cruz reaches on a fielding error by first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds doubles (39) on a ground ball to left fielder John Rave.

Context the model prices

Kansas City Royals
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Vinnie Pasquantino 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Michael Massey 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Loftin 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Konnor Griffin 4-5, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Oneil Cruz 3-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.