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Milwaukee Brewers
5
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Brewers · 10 H, 0 EPirates · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Konnor Griffin grounds out, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers.
bot 9Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Horwitz strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Yelich grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Jared Triolo.
top 9William Contreras lines out to right fielder Billy Cook.
top 9Jake Bauers doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 9Jackson Chourio lines out sharply to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
bot 8Ronny Simon grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Jake Bauers.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cooper Pratt 2-4, 1 RBI · Joey Ortiz 1-4 · Jackson Chourio 1-5
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Oneil Cruz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Rafael Flores Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.