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Milwaukee Brewers
5
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
1
0% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Brewers · 8 H, 0 EPirates · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brandon Lowe pops out to second baseman Brice Turang.
bot 9Konnor Griffin pops out to second baseman Brice Turang.
bot 9Jake Mangum grounds into a force out, shortstop Joey Ortiz to second baseman Brice Turang. Rafael Flores Jr. to 3rd. Ronny Simon out at 2nd. Jake Mangum to 1st.
bot 9Ronny Simon singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Rafael Flores Jr. to 2nd.
bot 9Rafael Flores Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Garrett Mitchell.
top 9William Contreras lines out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Brice Turang walks.
top 9Jackson Chourio grounds out to first baseman Jared Triolo.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 3-4, 2 RBI · Jake Bauers 1-4 · Garrett Mitchell 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Flores Jr. 4-4 · Brandon Lowe 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.