Statball

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Milwaukee Brewers
4
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
100% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Brewers · 9 H, 1 EPirates · 7 H, 1 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Joey Ortiz grounds out to first baseman Rafael Flores Jr.
top 9Andrew Vaughn walks.
top 9Jackson Chourio flies out to left fielder Billy Cook.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds grounds out, pitcher Aaron Ashby to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
bot 8Oneil Cruz grounds out softly to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Konnor Griffin to 2nd.
bot 8Henry Davis homers (10) on a line drive to left field. Ronny Simon scores.4–7
bot 8Jared Triolo flies out to right fielder Sal Frelick in foul territory.
bot 8Ronny Simon singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Joey Ortiz.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bo Naylor 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Sal Frelick 2-3, 1 RBI · Cooper Pratt 1-2
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Henry Davis 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ronny Simon 1-3 · Brandon Lowe 1-2, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.