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San Francisco Giants
2
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
5
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 2 H, 1 EPirates · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out, first baseman Spencer Horwitz to pitcher Mason Montgomery.
top 9Turner Hill grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Jonah Cox strikes out swinging.
bot 8Spencer Horwitz lines out to center fielder Drew Gilbert.
bot 8Jared Triolo out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Drew Gilbert. Jake Mangum scores.2–5
bot 8Nick Yorke out on a sacrifice bunt, first baseman Bryce Eldridge to second baseman Jonah Cox. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Rafael Flores Jr. to 2nd.
bot 8Rafael Flores Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Turner Hill, deflected by shortstop Christian Koss. Jake Mangum to 2nd.
bot 8Jake Mangum walks.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Gilbert 1-4 · Jung Hoo Lee 1-2, 1 RBI · Jonah Cox 0-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Yorke 1-1 · Spencer Horwitz 1-5 · Jake Mangum 1-1, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.