Statball

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San Francisco Giants
5
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 7 H, 0 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Rafael Flores Jr. lines out sharply to center fielder Jonah Cox.
bot 10Esmerlyn Valdez called out on strikes.
bot 10Oneil Cruz strikes out swinging.
bot 10Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonah Cox. Bryan Reynolds scores.5–4
top 10Jung Hoo Lee lines out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 10Turner Hill out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Rafael Devers scores. Grant McCray to 3rd.5–3
top 10Bryce Eldridge doubles (18) on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Christian Koss scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.4–3
top 10Camilo Doval intentionally walks Rafael Devers.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Shay Whitcomb 1-4 · Drew Cavanaugh 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-5 · Jacob Gonzalez 1-1 · Spencer Horwitz 1-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.