Statball

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Detroit Tigers
3
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678912112
Tigers · 7 H, 0 EPirates · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brandon Lowe homers (27) on a fly ball to right field.34
bot 9Spencer Horwitz flies out to right fielder Zach McKinstry.
bot 9Rafael Flores Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.33
bot 9Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
top 9Eduardo Valencia grounds out, first baseman Spencer Horwitz to pitcher Mason Montgomery.
top 9Hao-Yu Lee strikes out swinging.
top 9Max Clark singles on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Zach McKinstry to 2nd.
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Max Clark 2-4 · Zach McKinstry 1-3 · Hao-Yu Lee 1-2
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Flores Jr. 2-2, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.