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Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
8
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893251
Sox · 5 H, 1 EPirates · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Eli White strikes out swinging.
top 9Andruw Monasterio lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
top 9Caleb Durbin strikes out swinging.
bot 8Esmerlyn Valdez flies out sharply to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
bot 8Jared Triolo grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Nick Sogard.
bot 8Henry Davis pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin in foul territory.
top 8Adley Rutschman flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 8Wilyer Abreu walks. Connor Wong to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Connor Wong 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Anthony Seigler 1-2 · Caleb Durbin 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Yorke 2-4, 3 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-4, 2 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-3, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.