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Boston Red Sox
4
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
8
100% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 9 H, 1 EPirates · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman strikes out swinging.
top 9Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Eli White scores. Nick Sogard to 2nd.48
top 9Nick Sogard singles on a ground ball to center fielder Billy Cook. Eli White to 2nd.
top 9Eli White singles on a pop up to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
top 9Andruw Monasterio flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jared Triolo grounds into a double play, shortstop Andruw Monasterio to second baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Willson Contreras. Rafael Flores Jr. out at 2nd. Jared Triolo out at 1st.
bot 8Jake Mangum lines out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Sogard 2-4, 2 RBI · Masataka Yoshida 2-5, 1 RBI · Willson Contreras 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Flores Jr. 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.