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Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Sox · 9 H, 0 EPirates · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ronny Simon strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Esmerlyn Valdez called out on strikes.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
top 9Jahmai Jones singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Andruw Monasterio scores.40
top 9Nick Sogard called out on strikes.
top 9Andruw Monasterio doubles (22) on a line drive to center fielder Jake Mangum. Caleb Durbin scores. Jarren Duran scores.30
top 9Jarren Duran singles on a fly ball to left fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Caleb Durbin to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jahmai Jones 1-2, 1 RBI · Andruw Monasterio 1-4, 2 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 2-4 · Jake Mangum 2-3 · Brandon Lowe 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.