Statball

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New York Mets
0
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
9
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893141
Mets · 3 H, 1 EPirates · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cristian Pache grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Gabriel Arias lines out to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9A.J. Ewing pops out to third baseman Jared Triolo in foul territory.
bot 8Henry Davis lines out sharply to third baseman Brett Baty.
bot 8Jacob Gonzalez grounds into a double play, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Jared Young. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 2nd. Jacob Gonzalez out at 1st.
bot 8Esmerlyn Valdez singles on a fly ball to left fielder A.J. Ewing.
top 8Francisco Alvarez pops out to shortstop Jacob Gonzalez.
top 8Jorge Polanco called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Francisco Alvarez 1-3 · Francisco Lindor 1-2 · Luis Robert Jr. 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Mangum 3-5, 1 RBI · Ronny Simon 2-5, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.