Statball

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New York Mets
6
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 10 H, 0 EPirates · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Jared Young.
bot 9Brandon Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder A.J. Ewing. Jake Mangum scores.64
bot 9Jake Mangum walks.
bot 9Jacob Gonzalez singles on a fly ball to right fielder Brett Baty. Ronny Simon scores. Jacob Gonzalez out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Brett Baty to shortstop Francisco Lindor.63
bot 9Endy Rodríguez flies out to left fielder Cristian Pache.
bot 9Ronny Simon singles on a line drive to left fielder Cristian Pache.
top 9Bo Bichette flies out to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
top 9Francisco Lindor walks. A.J. Ewing to 2nd.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Marcus Semien 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · A.J. Ewing 3-4 · Carson Benge 2-2, 2 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ronny Simon 2-4 · Bryan Reynolds 2-5 · Jared Triolo 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.