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Arizona Diamondbacks
3
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 6 H, 0 EPirates · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan O'Hearn grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 2nd.
bot 9Esmerlyn Valdez walks.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds called out on strikes.
bot 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
top 9Tim Tawa grounds into a double play, shortstop Jared Triolo to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Max Kepler out at 2nd. Tim Tawa out at 1st.
top 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
top 9Max Kepler singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Nick Gonzales lines out to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Moreno 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Max Kepler 2-4, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jared Triolo 2-3 · Brandon Lowe 1-4 · Bryan Reynolds 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.