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Chicago Cubs
3
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 6 H, 0 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Bryan Reynolds lines out sharply to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 10Nick Gonzales grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch. Henry Davis scores.32
bot 10Jake Mangum bunt grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Michael Busch. Henry Davis to 3rd.
top 10Michael Busch strikes out swinging.
top 10Seiya Suzuki walks. Pedro Ramírez scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.31
top 10Yohan Ramírez intentionally walks Pete Crow-Armstrong. Pedro Ramírez to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.
top 10Michael Conforto lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
top 10Pedro Ramírez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Jared Triolo.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ian Happ 1-4 · Pedro Ramírez 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Mangum 2-5 · Henry Davis 2-3, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.