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Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
3
100% — our call
Arizona Diamondbacksgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Diamondbacks. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Diamondbacks · 8 H, 1 EPirates · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Brandon Lowe singles on a ground ball to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Billy Cook scores. Jake Mangum to 3rd.23
bot 10Jake Mangum reaches on a fielder's choice out, second baseman Ketel Marte to catcher Gabriel Moreno to third baseman Nolan Arenado to pitcher Taylor Clarke. Endy Rodríguez out at 3rd.
bot 10Endy Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Billy Cook to 3rd.
top 10Max Kepler lines out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
top 10Mason Montgomery intentionally walks Ketel Marte.
top 10Gabriel Moreno called out on strikes.
top 10Geraldo Perdomo reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Nick Gonzales. Jorge Barrosa to 3rd. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.
top 10Corbin Carroll lines out to third baseman Nick Gonzales.

Context the model prices

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Max Kepler 3-5, 2 RBI · Ryan Waldschmidt 1-3 · Ketel Marte 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 3-5, 2 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-4 · Jacob Gonzalez 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.