Statball

← All live games · PNC Park

Chicago Cubs
7
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
8
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891312341
Cubs · 12 H, 0 EPirates · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ian Happ strikes out swinging.
top 9Michael Busch grounds out to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
top 9Seiya Suzuki homers (18) on a fly ball to left field. Dansby Swanson scores.78
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
top 9Dansby Swanson singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
bot 8Billy Cook called out on strikes.
bot 8Shawn Ross strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jacob Gonzalez grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Seiya Suzuki 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-4, 1 RBI · Michael Busch 2-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 3-4 · Shawn Ross 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.