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Chicago Cubs
11
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 16 H, 1 EPirates · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jared Triolo called out on strikes.
bot 9Shawn Ross flies out to center fielder Justin Dean.
bot 9Billy Cook grounds into a force out, second baseman James Triantos to shortstop Dansby Swanson. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 2nd. Billy Cook to 1st.
bot 9Esmerlyn Valdez singles on a line drive to center fielder Justin Dean.
top 9Alex Bregman pops out to shortstop Jacob Gonzalez.
top 9Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Seiya Suzuki called out on strikes.
top 9Michael Conforto flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Crow-Armstrong 4-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 3-6, 2 RBI · Pedro Ramírez 2-4, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 1-3 · Jake Mangum 1-4 · Henry Davis 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.