Statball

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Milwaukee Brewers
2
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
3
100% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789221
Brewers · 7 H, 0 EPirates · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9William Contreras called out on strikes.
top 9Brice Turang flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Jackson Chourio strikes out swinging.
top 9Christian Yelich walks.
bot 8Ryan O'Hearn grounds out sharply, second baseman Brice Turang to first baseman Jake Bauers.
bot 8Esmerlyn Valdez grounds into a double play, second baseman Brice Turang to shortstop Cooper Pratt to first baseman Jake Bauers. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Bryan Reynolds out at 2nd. Esmerlyn Valdez out at 1st.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds walks. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.
bot 8Brandon Lowe singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Luis Lara.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 2-3 · Jackson Chourio 1-5 · Christian Yelich 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-4 · Bryan Reynolds 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.