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Atlanta Braves
10
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
5
0% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 11 H, 1 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds flies out sharply to center fielder Michael Harris II.
bot 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jake Mangum singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 9Michael Harris II lines out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Jim Jarvis doubles (1) on a fly ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
top 9Mike Yastrzemski hits a grand slam (6) to right field. Matt Olson scores. Drake Baldwin scores. Dominic Smith scores.105
top 9Austin Riley strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jim Jarvis 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Matt Olson 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Mike Yastrzemski 1-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Mangum 4-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Esmerlyn Valdez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.