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Atlanta Braves
4
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
12
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 11 H, 0 EPirates · 14 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Michael Harris II pops out to shortstop Jared Triolo.
top 9Jim Jarvis grounds out, third baseman Jack Brannigan to first baseman Tyler Callihan. Mike Yastrzemski to 2nd.
top 9Mike Yastrzemski singles on a line drive to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez. Dominic Smith scores. Austin Riley scores.412
top 9Austin Riley doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Billy Cook. Dominic Smith to 3rd.
top 9Dominic Smith grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to shortstop Jared Triolo. José Azócar out at 2nd. Dominic Smith to 1st.
top 9José Azócar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
bot 8Henry Davis grounds into a double play, shortstop Jim Jarvis to second baseman Kyle Farmer to first baseman Matt Olson. Tyler Callihan out at 2nd. Henry Davis out at 1st.
bot 8Jared Triolo flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
8 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Harris II 2-5 · Mauricio Dubón 2-3, 1 RBI · Austin Riley 2-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan O'Hearn 4-5, 3 HR, 10 RBI · Brandon Lowe 3-5, 1 RBI · Tyler Callihan 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.