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Cincinnati Reds
6
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 8 H, 1 EPirates · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryan Reynolds lines out sharply to right fielder Spencer Steer.
bot 9Brandon Lowe called out on strikes.
bot 9Konnor Griffin singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz, deflected by third baseman Eugenio Suárez.
bot 9Endy Rodríguez grounds out, first baseman Sal Stewart to pitcher Caleb Ferguson.
top 9Dane Myers called out on strikes.
top 9Matt McLain lines out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Tyler Stephenson grounds out, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
bot 8Jake Mangum grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Noelvi Marte 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Tyler Stephenson 2-4, 1 RBI · Sal Stewart 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Esmerlyn Valdez 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Konnor Griffin 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Marcell Ozuna 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.