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Cincinnati Reds
9
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 10 H, 0 EPirates · 11 H, 2 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan O'Hearn lines out to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 9Nick Gonzales walks.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds pops out to shortstop Elly De La Cruz.
bot 9Brandon Lowe grounds out to first baseman Spencer Steer.
top 9Noelvi Marte called out on strikes.
top 9Eugenio Suárez homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Edwin Arroyo scores. JJ Bleday scores.97
top 9JJ Bleday walks.
top 9Sal Stewart grounds into a double play, second baseman Brandon Lowe to shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. Edwin Arroyo to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz out at 2nd. Sal Stewart out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Sal Stewart 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Eugenio Suárez 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jose Trevino 2-4, 2 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Jared Triolo 3-4, 1 RBI · Esmerlyn Valdez 1-1, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.