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Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 9 H, 2 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan O'Hearn lines out sharply to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.42
bot 9Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
bot 9Spencer Horwitz called out on strikes.
top 9Kyle Stowers grounds out softly, third baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
top 9Otto Lopez pops out to catcher Endy Rodríguez in foul territory.
top 9Liam Hicks walks.
top 9Javier Sanoja bunt pops out softly to pitcher Isaac Mattson.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
7 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joe Mack 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Liam Hicks 2-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jake Mangum 2-4, 1 RBI · Nick Gonzales 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.