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Los Angeles Dodgers
8
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
6
0% — our call
Los Angeles Dodgersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Dodgers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Dodgers · 10 H, 0 EPirates · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Spencer Horwitz called out on strikes.
bot 9Ryan O'Hearn strikes out swinging.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds strikes out swinging.
top 9Mookie Betts lines out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Freddie Freeman grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Andy Pages grounds out, shortstop Jared Triolo to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Brandon Lowe flies out to right fielder Kyle Tucker.
bot 8Nick Gonzales strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Los Angeles Dodgers
14 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 25 batters faced over the last two days
Shohei Ohtani 2-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andy Pages 2-6 · Dalton Rushing 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Flores Jr. 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.