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Los Angeles Dodgers
8
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
9
100% — our call
Los Angeles Dodgersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Dodgers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Dodgers · 8 H, 1 EPirates · 11 H, 1 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Freddie Freeman lines out to third baseman Nick Gonzales.
top 9Andy Pages flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Shohei Ohtani homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Miguel Rojas scores.89
top 9Miguel Rojas singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Dalton Rushing grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Ryan O'Hearn strikes out swinging.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Call.
bot 8Brandon Lowe flies out to center fielder Andy Pages.

Context the model prices

Los Angeles Dodgers
13 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Ward 1-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Shohei Ohtani 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kyle Tucker 2-4, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Callihan 2-2, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jake Mangum 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.