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Los Angeles Dodgers
12
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
3
0% — our call
Los Angeles Dodgersgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Dodgers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Dodgers · 15 H, 0 EPirates · 5 H, 2 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jake Mangum grounds out, second baseman Alex Freeland to first baseman Miguel Rojas.
bot 9Davis Wendzel pops out to second baseman Alex Freeland.
bot 9Marcell Ozuna singles on a line drive to left fielder Ryan Ward. Bryan Reynolds scores.123
bot 9Ryan O'Hearn called out on strikes.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds doubles (14) on a line drive to center fielder Andy Pages.
top 9Kyle Tucker flies out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Santiago Espinal singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn. Miguel Rojas to 2nd.
top 9Mookie Betts flies out to center fielder Jake Mangum.

Context the model prices

Los Angeles Dodgers
13 on the injured list (4 stars) · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Max Muncy 3-3, 1 RBI · Andy Pages 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Freddie Freeman 2-4, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Triolo 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.