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Minnesota Twins
9
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
10
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911521612
Twins · 12 H, 1 EPirates · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luke Keaschall flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Orlando Arcia flies out sharply to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Victor Caratini walks.
top 9Austin Martin lines out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Jared Triolo grounds out, second baseman Luke Keaschall to first baseman Josh Bell.
bot 8Jake Mangum walks.
bot 8Endy Rodríguez flies out to left fielder Kody Clemens.
bot 8Oneil Cruz walks.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Kody Clemens 3-5, 2 RBI · Luke Keaschall 3-5 · Byron Buxton 2-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Mangum 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.