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Chicago Cubs
10
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789211631
Cubs · 14 H, 0 EPirates · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Esmerlyn Valdez grounds out, shortstop Dansby Swanson to first baseman Michael Busch.
bot 9Endy Rodríguez walks.
bot 9Marcell Ozuna flies out to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
bot 9Konnor Griffin grounds out, second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch.
top 9Ian Happ flies out to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Alex Bregman flies out to right fielder Esmerlyn Valdez.
top 9Michael Busch walks.
top 9Nico Hoerner pops out softly to catcher Endy Rodríguez in foul territory.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 2-6, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Michael Conforto 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 2-6
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 3-4 · Konnor Griffin 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.