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Minnesota Twins
5
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 8 H, 2 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Bryan Reynolds homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Tyler Callihan scores.56
bot 9Brandon Lowe strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Spencer Horwitz singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ryan Kreidler.
top 9Ryan Kreidler grounds out, pitcher Gregory Soto to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Luke Keaschall flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Victor Caratini called out on strikes.
bot 8Jared Triolo lines out to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 8Jake Mangum reaches on a fielder's choice out, first baseman Kody Clemens to catcher Victor Caratini. Oneil Cruz out at home. Konnor Griffin to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Larnach 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kody Clemens 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Caratini 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 45 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.