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Chicago Cubs
7
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cubs · 8 H, 0 EPirates · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Spencer Horwitz flies out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9Henry Davis grounds into a double play, shortstop Dansby Swanson to second baseman Nico Hoerner to first baseman Michael Busch. Jared Triolo out at 2nd. Henry Davis out at 1st.
bot 9Jared Triolo singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ian Happ.
top 9Seiya Suzuki strikes out swinging.
top 9Ian Happ lines out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.
top 9Michael Busch flies out to left fielder Jhostynxon Garcia.
top 9Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jhostynxon Garcia. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.
top 9Pete Crow-Armstrong walks.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 2-5, 2 RBI · Alex Bregman 1-5, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jared Triolo 1-4 · Jake Mangum 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.