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Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 8 H, 0 EPirates · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Spencer Horwitz pops out to third baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 9Nick Gonzales lines out to right fielder Adolis García.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds flies out to right fielder Adolis García.
top 9Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
top 9Trea Turner lines out to center fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Justin Crawford grounds out, pitcher Justin Lawrence to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Brandon Lowe flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 8Oneil Cruz singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alec Bohm.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Horwitz 1-4 · Brandon Lowe 1-4 · Oneil Cruz 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.