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Philadelphia Phillies
6
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 8 H, 0 EPirates · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Yorke grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adolis García. Konnor Griffin to 3rd.
bot 9Konnor Griffin singles on a ground ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 9Oneil Cruz grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
top 9Bryson Stott pops out to first baseman Jared Triolo.
top 9Adolis García singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Bryce Harper to 2nd.
top 9Brandon Marsh pops out to third baseman Nick Gonzales.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 1-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-5 · Trea Turner 2-4, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 2-4 · Konnor Griffin 2-4 · Nick Gonzales 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.