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Colorado Rockies
2
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
100% — our call
Colorado Rockiesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Rockies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892331
Rockies · 5 H, 0 EPirates · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Mickey Moniak grounds into a double play, first baseman Ryan O'Hearn to shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn. TJ Rumfield out at 2nd. Mickey Moniak out at 1st.
top 9Willi Castro strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9TJ Rumfield walks.
bot 8Brandon Lowe flies out to center fielder Brenton Doyle.
bot 8Jared Triolo grounds out, third baseman Willi Castro to first baseman TJ Rumfield.
top 8Hunter Goodman pops out to third baseman Jared Triolo in foul territory.
top 8Brenton Doyle grounds out, third baseman Jared Triolo to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
top 8Jordan Beck flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.

Context the model prices

Colorado Rockies
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Troy Johnston 1-3, 2 RBI · Hunter Goodman 1-4 · Jordan Beck 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan O'Hearn 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Endy Rodríguez 2-3, 2 RBI · Jared Triolo 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.