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Philadelphia Phillies
11
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
9
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 14 H, 2 EPirates · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Endy Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
bot 10Konnor Griffin grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper. Ryan O'Hearn scores. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd.119
bot 10Nick Gonzales grounds out, third baseman Alec Bohm to first baseman Bryce Harper. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd. Marcell Ozuna to 2nd.
bot 10Marcell Ozuna walks.
top 10Kyle Schwarber lines out sharply to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 10Adolis García strikes out swinging.
top 10Justin Crawford singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Rafael Marchán to 3rd.
top 10Rafael Marchán singles on a line drive to center fielder Oneil Cruz. Brandon Marsh scores. Bryson Stott scores.118

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 3-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Bryce Harper 4-5, 2 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-5
Pittsburgh Pirates
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Marcell Ozuna 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.