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Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
1
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Reds · 4 H, 0 EPirates · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Sal Stewart flies out sharply to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9Elly De La Cruz grounds out softly to catcher Henry Davis.
top 9Dane Myers strikes out swinging.
bot 8Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Spencer Steer.
bot 8Brandon Lowe walks. Jake Mangum to 3rd. Oneil Cruz to 2nd.
bot 8Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Konnor Griffin scores. Jake Mangum to 2nd.01
bot 8Jake Mangum walks.
bot 8Konnor Griffin doubles (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder TJ Friedl.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 51 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Friedl 1-4 · Spencer Steer 1-3 · Jose Trevino 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Oneil Cruz 2-4, 1 RBI · Joey Bart 1-2 · Konnor Griffin 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.