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Cincinnati Reds
1
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
9
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112141
Reds · 3 H, 0 EPirates · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Rece Hinds strikes out swinging.
top 9Sal Stewart flies out to right fielder Billy Cook.
top 9Elly De La Cruz called out on strikes.
bot 8Konnor Griffin grounds out, third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 8Spencer Horwitz walks.
bot 8Marcell Ozuna called out on strikes.
bot 8Nick Gonzales grounds out, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 8Matt McLain flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
TJ Friedl 2-4 · Spencer Steer 1-2 · Elly De La Cruz 0-4, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Henry Davis 2-3, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Gonzales 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.