Statball

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St. Louis Cardinals
11
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 12 H, 0 EPirates · 13 H, 2 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Oneil Cruz strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Marcell Ozuna called out on strikes.
bot 9Jake Mangum strikes out swinging.
bot 9Konnor Griffin homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.117
top 9Victor Scott II strikes out swinging.
top 9Pedro Pagés singles on a pop up to right fielder Ryan O'Hearn.
top 9Nathan Church grounds out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Masyn Winn strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Gorman 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Victor Scott II 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jordan Walker 2-4, 3 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
Oneil Cruz 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Konnor Griffin 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.