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St. Louis Cardinals
10
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
5
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 13 H, 1 EPirates · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan O'Hearn lines out to left fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds flies out to right fielder Jordan Walker. Brandon Lowe to 3rd.
bot 9Brandon Lowe doubles (8) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jordan Walker. Oneil Cruz scores. Throwing error by right fielder Jordan Walker.105
bot 9Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Nick Yorke grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Pedro Pagés strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathan Church lines out sharply to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 9Masyn Winn pops out to second baseman Brandon Lowe.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Walker 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Alec Burleson 3-5, 3 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 41 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-4, 2 RBI · Oneil Cruz 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.