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St. Louis Cardinals
5
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Cardinals · 6 H, 2 EPirates · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Gonzales flies out to left fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ryan O'Hearn singles on a line drive to left fielder Nathan Church.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, second baseman JJ Wetherholt to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Jordan Walker strikes out swinging.
top 9Yohan Ramírez intentionally walks Alec Burleson.
top 9Iván Herrera pops out to shortstop Konnor Griffin.
bot 8Nick Yorke lines out to right fielder Jordan Walker.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Alec Burleson 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · JJ Wetherholt 2-5, 1 RBI · Iván Herrera 2-4, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 54 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Horwitz 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joey Bart 2-3 · Nick Yorke 1-2, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.