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Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 6 H, 1 EPirates · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 9Yandy Díaz grounds out, pitcher Wilber Dotel to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
top 9Junior Caminero homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.36
bot 8Jake Mangum grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Spencer Horwitz grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Konnor Griffin to 3rd.
bot 8Joey Bart flies out to right fielder Jonny DeLuca.
bot 8Konnor Griffin singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Ian Seymour.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Richie Palacios 1-3 · Chandler Simpson 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Yorke 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-4, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.