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Tampa Bay Rays
8
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 15 H, 0 EPirates · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 13Joey Bart strikes out swinging.
bot 13Konnor Griffin singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Jake Mangum scores. Spencer Horwitz to 3rd.87
bot 13Spencer Horwitz walks.
bot 13Nick Yorke flies out to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Jake Mangum to 3rd.
bot 13Marcell Ozuna grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Ryan Vilade.
top 13Junior Caminero grounds into a double play, second baseman Brandon Lowe to shortstop Konnor Griffin to first baseman Spencer Horwitz. Chandler Simpson out at 2nd. Junior Caminero out at 1st.
top 13Chandler Simpson singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Ben Williamson to 3rd. Nick Fortes to 2nd.
top 13Taylor Walls strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Cedric Mullins 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-7 · Jonny DeLuca 2-4, 2 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan O'Hearn 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Marcell Ozuna 2-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nick Yorke 1-6, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.