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St. Louis Cardinals
4
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
St. Louis Cardinalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Cardinals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789411
Cardinals · 6 H, 0 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Konnor Griffin flies out to center fielder Victor Scott II.
bot 9Nick Gonzales singles on a ground ball to center fielder Victor Scott II.
bot 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, shortstop Masyn Winn to first baseman Alec Burleson.
top 9Nathan Church strikes out swinging.
top 9Masyn Winn flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 9José Fermín doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Jake Mangum. Victor Scott II scores. Alec Burleson scores. Jordan Walker to 3rd.42
top 9Jordan Walker walks. Victor Scott II to 3rd. Alec Burleson to 2nd.

Context the model prices

St. Louis Cardinals
2 on the injured list · bullpen threw 42 batters faced over the last two days
JJ Wetherholt 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pedro Pagés 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Fermín 2-2, 2 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Gonzales 3-4 · Jake Mangum 2-3, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.