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Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
7
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 10 H, 0 EPirates · 15 H, 4 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jake Mangum grounds into a double play, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead. Konnor Griffin out at 2nd. Jake Mangum out at 1st.
bot 10Bryan Reynolds strikes out swinging.
bot 10Konnor Griffin singles on a ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams. Henry Davis to 3rd.
top 10Brady House flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
top 10Curtis Mead reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Nick Yorke. James Wood to 3rd.
top 10James Wood singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Jorbit Vivas scores.87
top 10Nasim Nuñez lines out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 10Keibert Ruiz flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Drew Millas 2-2 · Daylen Lile 2-5 · James Wood 2-6, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Mangum 3-5 · Marcell Ozuna 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Lowe 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.