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Washington Nationals
5
100% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
4
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 9 H, 2 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Yorke pops out to first baseman Curtis Mead in foul territory.
bot 9Oneil Cruz strikes out swinging.
bot 9Joey Bart walks.
bot 9Konnor Griffin doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Joey Wiemer.
bot 9Jake Mangum flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 9Curtis Mead flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9James Wood strikes out swinging.
top 9Nasim Nuñez flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 48 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brady House 2-4, 1 RBI · Jorbit Vivas 1-3
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joey Bart 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Konnor Griffin 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.