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Washington Nationals
0
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
2
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892
Nationals · 3 H, 0 EPirates · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Drew Millas lines out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
top 9Nasim Nuñez lines out to center fielder Oneil Cruz.
top 9CJ Abrams hit by pitch.
top 9Brady House grounds out, third baseman Nick Yorke to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Nick Gonzales grounds into a double play, second baseman José Tena to shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Curtis Mead. Billy Cook out at 2nd. Nick Gonzales out at 1st.
bot 8Marcell Ozuna lines out to right fielder James Wood.
bot 8Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to second baseman José Tena.
top 8Daylen Lile strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 65 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 1-1 · Jorbit Vivas 1-3 · Curtis Mead 1-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan O'Hearn 3-4 · Nick Gonzales 1-4, 1 RBI · Marcell Ozuna 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.