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Washington Nationals
5
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
16
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 8 H, 1 EPirates · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging.
top 9Joey Wiemer strikes out swinging.
top 9Keibert Ruiz strikes out swinging.
bot 8Nick Yorke flies out to right fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 8Nick Gonzales walks. Billy Cook to 3rd. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.
bot 8Joey Bart out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder José Tena. Henry Davis scores.516
bot 8Brandon Lowe hit by pitch. Henry Davis to 3rd. Billy Cook to 2nd.
bot 8Billy Cook singles on a ground ball to right fielder Daylen Lile. Henry Davis to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jacob Young 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Daylen Lile 2-4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 49 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 3-5, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 3-4, 4 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.