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Baltimore Orioles
2
0% — our call
Final
Pittsburgh Pirates
3
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityPittsburgh Pirates
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Pirates in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892111
Orioles · 6 H, 1 EPirates · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Pirates win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Pirates win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Yorke doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Bryan Reynolds scores. Ryan O'Hearn to 3rd.23
bot 9Ryan Helsley intentionally walks Ryan O'Hearn.
bot 9Bryan Reynolds doubles (1) on a fly ball to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
bot 9Brandon Lowe grounds out, second baseman Blaze Alexander to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Taylor Ward grounds out softly to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
top 9Blaze Alexander grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 8Oneil Cruz grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Jake Mangum reaches on a fielding error by pitcher Anthony Nunez. Nick Yorke scores. Nick Gonzales to 2nd.22

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 2-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-3 · Leody Taveras 1-2, 1 RBI
Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 3-4 · Nick Yorke 1-1, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.